jueves, noviembre 18, 2010

Money, it's a hit.

2010 año de gran cosecha con precios excepcionales. Resultado: ya en la semana 45 del año el ingreso de divisas superó al año aún mejor y todavía récord en precios del 2008. En el siguiente gráfico están las curvas acumuladas 2006-2010 de los dólares que ingresan los exportadores de granos y subproductos:



A saber:

El incremento año a año (09-10) es igual al 34% o a 5 mil millones de dólares.
Respecto del 2006 es del 83% o 8.9 mil millones de dólares.

Y estas divisas son netas. Buah, no 100% pero casi. Y la importancia radica en que los restantes sectores de la economía son deglutidores de divisas netas, es decir, requieren el saldo positivo del agro para poder producir. De acuerdo a la última estimación de ECOLATINA:



La Argentina agrícola todavía juega con efecto precio y cantidades a favor. Los precios no los podemos manejar, pero sí las cantidades. Al menos en la parte que nos toca, no sigamos tirando de la cuerda. La producción dificilmente caiga, pero si es seguro que crece a un menor ritmo, alejándose de su potencial.

Contribuyan a demoler mitos urbanos y difundan: si quieren industria fuerte se necesita un agro fuerte.

Etiquetas:

54 Comentarios:

At 12:15 p.m., Blogger ayjblog said...

perdon? pero para industria fuerte hay que seguirlos ejemplos de todos aquellos que la tienen?

 
At 1:29 p.m., Blogger Mariano T. said...

Solo para comparar, cuanto fue el PBI medido en dólares en 2009 y cuánto se espera que sea en 2010?

 
At 2:37 p.m., Blogger Abuelo Económico said...

Ayj, hable con Debora para saber eso, yo le digo lo que necesita para tener un agro fuerte si quiere...

Mariano: 2009 307 mil millones.
datos al II Trim 2010: 387 mil millones
estimados 2010: 449 MM

 
At 4:56 p.m., Anonymous Anónimo said...

ni idea Abuelo, recuerde que solo soy un diletante, ahora bien, a titulo de ejemplo nomas, pongale, subo todosl os aranceles de importacion de cosas al 35/50%, adivine quien se queja primero?,

BTW, el nro no es al azar, es lo que tenia de proteccion efectiva USA, excluyendo Smooth-Hawley entre 1880 y 1950, fte Krugman (creo que lo postee tambien) vio...

y no hable de protecciones paraarancelarias, ni de Brasil que es bastante parecido

 
At 8:46 a.m., Blogger Ulschmidt said...

Enhorabuena su regreso Abuelo!
lo felicito
y con el post de acuerdo por completo...

 
At 4:08 p.m., Blogger Abuelo Económico said...

Amigo Ulschmidt, que bueno volver a verlo. Ahora a retomar la lectura de su excelente blog. Sin dudas uno de los mejor escritos.

 
At 8:15 p.m., Blogger frme said...

son muy interesantes sus temas!!!
tal vez hable de alguno de ellos en mi blog: anticontradictorio.blogspot.com

saludos desde montevideo

 
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